Tracking the migration path and source areas of the fall armyworm in Henan
Author of the article:SUN Xu-Jun ZHANG Guo-Yan LIU Yi WHANG Xin-Yuan XU Fu-Sheng DU Gui-Zhi FENG He-Kui GENG Feng-H
Author's Workplace:College of Plant Protection, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing 210095, China; Henan Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station, Zhengzhou 450002, China; Yancheng Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station, Luohe 462000, China; Huaiyang Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station, Huaiyang 466700, China; Pingyu Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station, Pingyu 463400, China; Zhenping Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station, Zhenping 474200, China; Changge Plant Protection and Plant Quarantine Station, Changge 461500, China
Key Words:Spodoptera frugiperda; trajectory analysis; migratory routes; source areas of immigrants
Abstract:
[Objectives] To clarify the immigration pattern and source
population of the fall armyworm (FAW, Spodoptera
frugiperda) in Henan province, and provide basic information for the
allopatric forecasting of FAW. [Methods] Migration routes of FAW
were tracked by trajectory analysis using the WRF4.0 (Weather Research and Forecasting Model) and source areas of immigrants analyzed based on searchlight trap
catches at 88 monitoring stations in Henan province in 2019 and 2020. [Results] Immigrants fly north along
two paths; east and west. The eastern route mainly runs from Guangdong and
south of Yangtze River provinces from June to August, with a few immigrants
from Anhui and Jiangsu from August to September. The western route is the main
source of populations invading Henan province. These depart from the
southwestern, mountainous, corn belt, including the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau,
eastern Sichuan, Chongqing, western Guangxi, western Hunan and Hubei and
southern Shaanxi, and fly 1-3 nights to arrive in central and western Henan in
July and August. Weather can cause annual fluctuations in the timing of
immigration of the FAW to Henan Province. A case study revealed that long-term
and heavy precipitation south of the Yangtze River during mid-to-late June 2020
retarded the takeoff of source populations in southern China, postponing the
arrival of immigrants in Henan. [Conclusion] The density of field
populations of FAW in Guangxi and Yunnan in March, and in Chongqing, Guizhou
and Hunan in April and May, can be used to predict the number of immigrants
that will arrive in Henan. The emergence period in Hunan and Hubei during May
and June, and the rainfall in June, are also predictive factors for the arrival
of FAW in Henan province.